Day 8 · game 52 · back-to-back

Bunnies @ Shitbirds

Ride the top sixShutdown line
27%
win chance

The matchup

Scoring
-6.8
us 74 · them 81
Defence
-1.7
us 78 · them 79
Physical
+0.6
us 69 · them 68
Goalie
-12
us 73 · them 85
  • ›Top line is 8.6 points better than the third line, so lines 1-2 get the minutes.
  • ›Back-to-back: two points of ice time moved from the top line to the fourth.
  • ›Their scorers (Macklin Celebrini, Kirill Kaprizov) outrate ours by 6.8: line 3 and pair 1 play defensive (1/3/1).
  • ›PP1 rates 75 vs PP2 69: 60/40 split.
  • ›Goalie: Jake Allen: 73 goalie rating, .892 recent save %. He played yesterday too, but still rates ahead of Jordan Binnington.
  • • William Karlsson (scratch) rates 2.2 above Thomas Novak; worth dressing.
  • • Oliver Bjorkstrand (scratch) rates 2.3 above Thomas Novak; worth dressing.

Suggested lineup

5 vs 5 forwards

#Left wingCenterRight wingTime %Phy/DF/OF
1Nipples TenderloinRyan McLeodTyler Bertuzzi341/2/2
2Jake DeBruskPierre-Luc DuboisMackie Samoskevich301/2/2
3shutdownJack RoslovicTyler SeguinDawson Mercer231/3/1
4Warren FoegeleNazem KadriThomas Novak131/2/2

5 vs 5 defence

#DefenseDefenseTime %Phy/DF/OF
1Tyler KlevenSean Walker341/3/1
2Arber XhekajKris Letang301/2/2
3Cody CeciJonas Brodin221/2/2
4Tyler KlevenSean Walker141/3/1

Power play

1. LW Nipples Tenderloin · C Nazem Kadri · RW Tyler Bertuzzi · D Kris Letang · D Sean Walker 60%
2. LW Jake DeBrusk · C Tyler Seguin · RW Pierre-Luc Dubois · D Jonas Brodin · D Tyler Kleven 40%

Penalty kill (4)

1. C Ryan McLeod · W Nipples Tenderloin · D Sean Walker · D Tyler Kleven 55%
2. C Warren Foegele · W Jake DeBrusk · D Cody Ceci · D Jonas Brodin 45%

Penalty kill (3)

1. C Nipples Tenderloin · D Sean Walker · D Tyler Kleven 55%
2. C Ryan McLeod · D Cody Ceci · D Jonas Brodin 45%

4 vs 4

1. C Ryan McLeod · W Nipples Tenderloin · D Tyler Kleven · D Sean Walker 55%
2. C Pierre-Luc Dubois · W Jake DeBrusk · D Arber Xhekaj · D Kris Letang 45%

Last minutes, protecting a lead

LW Nipples Tenderloin · C Ryan McLeod · RW Warren Foegele · D Tyler Kleven · D Sean Walker

Last minutes, chasing a goal

LW Nipples Tenderloin · C Tyler Bertuzzi · RW Jake DeBrusk · D Kris Letang · D Sean Walker

Goalies

Start Jake Allen

Backup Jordan Binnington

Penalty shots / shootout

Tyler Seguin · Nipples Tenderloin · Jake DeBrusk · Pierre-Luc Dubois · Nazem Kadri

Scouting: Shitbirds

1-0-2 · 4 pts · GF 8 GA 8 · OTL1

Belfast · Cooke division · power rank 11

OTLOTLW
Last 3: goals for / against2.7 / 2.7
Shots for / against27.3 / 21.7
Power play / penalty kill22.2% / 60%
Hits / PIM per game21 / 4
Games on default ice time3 of 3

Goalies used

  • Logan Thompson3 GS · .892

Their lines as set now

Goalie Logan Thompson(85)
  1. Buck Phucksalot – Macklin Celebrini – Seth Jarvis
  2. Kirill Kaprizov – Roope Hintz – Matthew Boldy
  3. Alex Laferriere – Travis Konecny – Arseny Gritsyuk
  4. Anthony Cirelli – Quinton Byfield – Macklin Celebrini
  1. Charlie McAvoy – Philip Broberg
  2. Victor Hedman – Vladislav Gavrikov
  3. Alexander Nikishin – Thomas Harley

Threats (scoring rating)

Macklin Celebrini 91 · Kirill Kaprizov 90 · Matthew Boldy 87 · Seth Jarvis 87

Top scorers this season

PlayerGPGAP+/-
Kirill Kaprizov3213+1
Matthew Boldy31230
Roope Hintz3123-1
Seth Jarvis3112+1
Victor Hedman30220
Anthony Cirelli3101+1
Macklin Celebrini3101+1
Vladislav Gavrikov3101+1

How they've lined up

  • D5 OTL 2-3 Riots F 30/28/26/16 · 1/2/2 · G Logan Thompson
  • D3 OTL 3-4 Jets F 30/28/26/16 · 1/2/2 · G Logan Thompson
  • D2 W 3-1 Bunnies F 30/28/26/16 · 1/2/2 · G Logan Thompson

Head to head

  • D2 L 1-3 · Jake Allen
Data from rwha.net · ratings-based suggestions, not gospel